Clinton leads Trump in a new national poll, which suggests that all of the gains that Donald Trump had made are now starting to subside. In the new national poll, there are also several statistical polls that give Hillary Clinton even more gains among voters of certain demographics, which were previously held by Trump.
In the new national poll for June, there are several notable differences that could give Hillary Clinton a bigger lead over Donald Trump come November. It also sheds light on how Trump made his gains and how quickly he could be losing them, if the statistics are any indicator, according to the Washington Post .
There is both good news and bad news for Hillary Clinton in this new poll, which clearly shows that she leads Trump, but also shows that she does not have the wide margin she once had before the March poll was conducted that showed she was trailing Trump.
The good news is that Clinton leads Trump by a margin of four, 45 – 41. But that margin is only slight at best and Clinton once held a six-point margin over Trump. But when Trump became the GOP nominee, he quickly shot up in the national poll and that indicated that the GOP base was rallying behind him. Those gains for Trump have quickly turned the other way, though.
The bad news is that Hillary Clinton cannot shore up her support in those polls until she has been officially declared the Democratic nominee, which won’t happen until after the Democratic National Convention. That’s because her DNC rival Bernie Sanders has still been making some gains on her in this primary season and he has vowed to take it all the way to the convention.
NEW POLL: Trump tops Clinton on honesty by 2 to 1 https://t.co/lMgusfzwJe pic.twitter.com/UyzRlO1hxT
— The Hill (@thehill) June 1, 2016
There is still California left to vote in the primary, so there could be a dramatic shift in the Democratic primary dynamic between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. On the flip side of that argument, Bernie Sanders has consistently performed well in national polls against Donald Trump, which could indicate that voters have been leaning Democrat no matter who takes the nomination.
But now that Clinton leads Trump again in the June national poll conducted by Quinnipiac University, there is good reason to believe that no matter who becomes the Democratic nominee, they can take Donald Trump down in the general election this November.
NEW this morning – Quinnipiac polls: @HillaryClinton holds small lead over @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/Sj2OtHLsPw
— Morning Joe (@Morning_Joe) June 1, 2016
Voters should also consider that the national polls have also seemed to influence how well Hillary Clinton does in her primary battles, and vice-versa. When Donald Trump locked up the GOP nomination following his Indiana victory, Clinton lost her national lead over him. That could also have something to do with the fact that Bernie Sanders pulled off an unexpected victory over Clinton in Indiana as well.
It is also a clear indicator that polling this early in the election year is more about trends than it is about political affiliations. The more popular trends tend to lead the popular poll vote, especially with voters who have not declared a party affiliation. Those voters also happen to swing their preferences between election cycles, so it is hard to tell just how much the poll truly favors one candidate over the other.
Latest poll on general election shows dead heat between Clinton and Trump: pic.twitter.com/Brdm3LBxqC
— TODAY (@TODAYshow) May 31, 2016
There could also be a massive turn in the national poll if Hillary Clinton should end up taking the nomination after the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia. Just consider how well that benefited Donald Trump when he locked in the GOP nomination. It went as far as to put him over the top of Clinton, who had previously maintained a six-point lead over Trump in the national polls.
Trump thanks Sanders for “such great lines” of attack against Clinton https://t.co/d9yYjFYZYE pic.twitter.com/cN3Kn5vGo4
— The Hill (@thehill) May 27, 2016
The poll also reports that Trump has expanded his lead among white men, but Clinton leads Trump among all non-white voters.
[Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images]