Latest Polls: Clinton-Trump Margin Steady Near 6 Percent, Odds Of Democratic Senate Increase
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton continues to lead Republican Donald Trump in recent polls, with a new study conducted by Pew Research Center giving the former Secretary of State the backing of 46 percent of the electorate and the real estate businessman 40 percent, as reported by MSNBC.
With the latest polls, Clinton, Trump, Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, and Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party have maintained roughly the same levels of support compared to recent weeks. In the Pew study, which ended October 25, Johnson was seen with 6 percent of voter support and Stein with 3 percent.
These levels can be compared with the latest poll averages from Real Clear Politics, which have Hillary Clinton in the lead with the backing of 45.1 percent of voters, Donald Trump with 40.7, Gary Johnson with 5.2, and Jill Stein with 2.0.
In Real Clear Politics poll averages featuring only Clinton and Trump, the Democrat leads the Republican by 5.2 percent, 47.3 to 42.1.
Presidential election odds-maker FiveThirtyEight currently gives Hillary Clinton an 82.0 percent chance of taking the election, down more than 3 percent from levels observed yesterday, as reported by the Inquisitr. Donald Trump is seen with a 17.9 percent chance of taking the presidency, up from yesterday.
A similar tale emerges when examining the latest polls, Trump, Clinton, and the showing of other candidates on a state-by-state basis, and the lead changes perceived by FiveThirtyEight.
Over the past 24 hours, FiveThirtyEight has flipped both of the tight races in Arizona and Ohio from favoring Hillary Clinton to favoring Donald Trump, making a somewhat significant change to the current electoral map.
However, perhaps in contrast to the slight slippage being perceived in the lead of the Democrats in the presidential race, published U.S. Senate odds give the Democratic Party a 69.9 percent chance of retaking control, up more than 3 percent from levels observed yesterday.
Currently, Real Clear Politics has called the Clinton-Trump races in each of the following states a toss up. Those races are in Maine’s second congressional district, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Iowa, Arizona, Texas, and Georgia.
FiveThirtyEight sees Hillary Clinton leading in all of Maine, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, and Nevada. The election odds-maker see Donald Trump leading in Arizona, Ohio, Georgia, and Texas.
The latest Real Clear Politics poll averages in each of the “toss up” battleground states have Hillary Clinton leading in Nevada, 45.3 to 43.3 percent; in Arizona, 43.5 to 42.0; in Pennsylvania, 45.8 to 40.8; in North Carolina, 46.2 to 43.8; and in Florida, 44.7 to 44.0.
Donald Trump leads poll averages in Texas, 45.7 to 41.0 percent; in Iowa, 41.7 to 40.3; in Ohio, 44.8 to 43.7; in Georgia, 46.3 to 43.5; and in Maine’s second congressional district, 41.7 to 37.0.
In Real Clear Politics Utah poll averages, conservative Evan McMullin and Hillary Clinton each trail Donald Trump, tied with the backing of 25.2 percent of voters. Trump leads the Utah race with 31.0 percent of the voter support.
According to MSNBC, over 13 million U.S. citizens have already cast votes, with 7.5 million early votes being made in “12 battleground states.”
When the strong showing of Clinton in recent polls in Iowa, Georgia, and North Carolina was presented to MSNBC panelist John Heilemann, the managing editor of Bloomberg Politics, as not being “good news” for Donald Trump, the journalist was succinct.
“Not any good news anywhere for Donald Trump I would say,” Heilemann responded. “I think the race was basically over at the beginning of the week and it’s more close to over now, just because you’re passing each day.”
The Bloomberg editor went on to explain that he doesn’t put much stock in political statistics, but he sees Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by about “6 or 7 percent” nationally. Heilemann described Georgia as being a “statistical dead heat” and expressed a view that Clinton may be pulling ahead in battleground states overall.
[Featured Image by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images]